Tesla Downgraded: Analyst Warns of ‘Downside’ as Model 2 Hopes Fade

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LA News Center reports on Tesla’s recent challenges, highlighting the shift in its vehicle strategy and the potential implications for investors.

Analyst Sounds Alarm: Model 2 Delay Derails Investment Case

Deutsche Bank’s Emmanuel Rosner, a former Tesla bull, has sent shockwaves through the market by downgrading the stock from buy to hold. His reasoning centers on the company’s potential abandonment of the low-cost Model 2.

Rosner believes the Model 2 was crucial to address Tesla’s aging lineup and recent price cuts. Its absence, he argues, poses significant risks to earnings and free cash flow.

Stock Plunges on Downgrade, Amplifying Year-to-Date Losses

The downgrade has sent Tesla’s stock tumbling 3%, further contributing to its substantial year-to-date loss of 39%. Investors are expressing concerns about the company’s revised strategy and profitability outlook.

Rosner explains, “There’s no turning point to this. This is thesis-changing… Earnings are under pressure, free cash flow is under pressure.”

Self-Driving RoboTaxi: A Risky Bet?

Tesla is reportedly considering shifting its focus towards developing a self-driving robotaxi instead of the Model 2. While the idea has its potential, Rosner cautions that it’s a high-risk gamble.

He notes that the regulatory framework for self-driving cars is still uncertain, and widespread adoption may take years to materialize.

Structural Issues Weigh on Company’s Prospects

Besides the Model 2 delay, Tesla continues to face “structural” issues that have been plaguing its operations. Rosner believes these challenges will continue to hinder the company’s path forward.

  • Aging Lineup: Tesla’s vehicle offerings have remained largely unchanged for several years, making them less competitive against newer rivals.
  • Recent Price Cuts: To boost sales, Tesla has implemented aggressive price reductions, squeezing its profit margins.
  • Production Issues: Tesla has faced supply chain disruptions and quality control problems, impacting production levels and customer satisfaction.

Investors’ Dilemma: Recalculating Growth Expectations

The uncertainty surrounding Tesla’s direction and the potential impact of its structural issues have left investors grappling with a dilemma.

Once hailed as a disruptive force in the automotive industry, Tesla’s trajectory is now clouded with challenges. Investors must carefully consider whether the company can overcome these obstacles and reclaim its path to growth.